Saturday, April 13, 2024

Cause and effect

If determinism is  true, the cause has to guarantee the effect. We often use the word "cause" to refer to things that influence,

but do not guarantee the effect, If determinism is true there are causes going back before you were born

that guarantee what you do now.

Anscombe Essay on causality and determination.

852 comments:

«Oldest   ‹Older   801 – 852 of 852
im-skeptical said...

"Ok, so you agree there is no such thing as intrinsic randomness."
- NO. You are a cretin who doesn't comprehend what I say. STFU.

SteveK said...

"Material and its properties are conjoined by necessity"

The fundamental EM "at base" does not have the properties of the EM in the arrangement. New properties came to exist where none existed before. What is the cause? The only thing it could be is fundamental EM.

So, let's apply the basic principles logic to EM "at base". We know nothing can simultaneously be both actual and potential in the same respect. That means EM cannot actualize the potential. Don't let magical thinking creep into your materialism.

StardustyPsyche said...

SteveK,
"The fundamental EM "at base" does not have the properties of the EM in the arrangement. "
What is your evidence or reasoning for that?

EM at base just keeps doing what EM does, oblivious to some grand scale of what we call arrangement.


"New properties came to exist where none existed before."
They don't, why should they?

"The only thing it could be is fundamental EM"
Right, what's the problem?

"We know nothing can simultaneously be both actual and potential in the same respect. That means EM cannot actualize the potential. "
That is ancient linear hierarchical sequential thinking.
I suggest that you concentrate, at least for a little while, on conceiving of causation as mutual and multilateral, with EM being material conjoined with its properties simultaneously and inseparably by necessity.

Kevin said...

They don't, why should they?

This is the danger of valuing "consistency" in a worldview over accuracy. Plutonium is clearly radioactive, as our observations, instruments, and models all agree, but this very flawed worldview is forced to deny all of that reality. So instead plutonium has to be denied, radioactivity has to be denied, all observations have to be dismissed as hallucinations, and we ourselves are proclaimed to not exist. All that exists is stuff doing stuff, except the stuff the stuff does doesn't exist, while also being the reason why stuff that doesn't exist happens. Magic thinking.


Remember kids, only EM exists, and there are no emergent properties, so since food is good for you, then so is bleach. No emergent properties, so drink away, nonexistent children!

SteveK said...

"What is your evidence or reasoning for that?"

See recent comments made by Kevin

StardustyPsyche said...

im-skeptical,
May 03, 2024 2:25 PM
"What gives rise to that? Nothing."

May 03, 2024 10:20 PM
"nothing there that makes it happen. It just happens."

May 04, 2024 7:15 PM
"So what is this quantum vacuum? Answer: nothing."

May 04, 2024 7:15 PM
"Next question: What makes the vacuum fluctuate? Answer: nothing."

May 03, 2024 10:56 AM
an atomic decay event, ..., and is "caused" by a random quantum event, but there is no chain of causation that goes back beyond that. And this is consistent with a modern concept of determinism that many people have today.

So, again and again you claim that nothing causes something to happen, yet now you deny that you ever said it.

And just in case if that self-contradiction of yours was not enough, you also deny that something causes something to happen.

You're mad about nothing causing something to happen, and you are mad about something causing something to happen.

You even claim that events happening without a cause is "consistent" with determinism!

StardustyPsyche said...

Kevin,
"then so is bleach. No emergent properties, so drink away, nonexistent children!"
Indeed, the EM will just continue interacting mutually in either case.

"Plutonium is clearly radioactive, as our observations, instruments, and models all agree, but this very flawed worldview is forced to deny all of that reality. "
EM is arranged radioactivity-wise in that case. What's the problem?

"all observations have to be dismissed as hallucinations,"
Why would we dismiss hallucinations? The hallucinations are experiential symbols that the brain generates in association with certain patterns of sense data (sometimes called spike trains).

The symbols themselves are made up internally and are completely hallucinatory. But, the brain has associated those hallucinations with actual processes of existent material. We don't posses a mechanism to be aware of those processes of material directly, but we are aware of the associated hallucinations.

So, the hallucinations have utility insofar as they are symbols consistently associated with actual processes of existent material.

For example, A-P-P-L-E, the letters, are just symbols. There is nothing about an apple, the object, that indicates A-P-P-L-E.
苹果 is also a symbol for the object, an apple.
सेवम् is another, sevam is another, and so forth.

None of those symbols have anything intrinsically to do with the object, an apple.
Those symbols are not intelligible to most other people who can't read those sorts of symbols.

They symbols are just made up in our heads, just squiggly lines somebody dreamed up, hallucinated.

But, those symbols have utility insofar as they are consistently associated with the object, apple, and we can learn that association and share that association.

So, no, I have never suggested dismissing your hallucinations, quite the contrary.

StardustyPsyche said...

SteveK,
"See recent comments made by Kevin (for evidence or reasoning)"

Sorry, not a very helpful suggestion, I don't find much there to call evidence or reasoning, sound reasoning leastwise.

im-skeptical said...

SP,

You are good at picking out statements I made. You are no good at hearing EVERYTHING I had to say and applying the principle of charity to make the best sense of it.

Saying that something has no cause is not the same as saying nothing is what causes something.
You are assuming some kind of causation. I don't make that mistake.

Saying that no plausible causal mechanism is observed is not he same as saying "we observe nothing causing something", or whatever you have twisted my words into. It is the mark of a moron to misunderstand my words the way you have. And anyone who knows modern physics would know that causation is not a even a principle of physics. The word 'cause' doesn't appear in any physical law. For the most part, it is a philosophical concept.

As for determinism, I explained at length, and made it perfectly clear that it applies in the non-quantum realm, which is where mental processes occur. And even then, it isn't absolute. I explained my concept of "deterministic free will", with caveats regarding the limits of determinism.

I said all this, and you don't understand any of it. So you go around putting your own words in my mouth, distorting the meaning of what I said, and thinking you have good reason to ridicule me for that. You accuse me of contradicting myself when you don't grok what I said. You understand far less than you think you do.

Kevin said...

Indeed, the EM will just continue interacting mutually in either case.

EM is arranged radioactivity-wise in that case. What's the problem?

Once again proving my point. At the level of EM there is no distinction, but at the arrangement level, there is. I agree, at the level of "radioactivity-wise arrangement", which normal people call "plutonium", radioactivity occurs where at the EM level, it did not. Emergent property. Thank you.

Why would we dismiss hallucinations?

Go ask a psychiatrist or qualified neurologist. They'll explain it to you, since Google and dictionaries are beyond your capabilities.

The hallucinations are experiential symbols that the brain generates in association with certain patterns of sense data (sometimes called spike trains).

By definition, "in association with certain patterns of sense data" means they aren't hallucinations. Seriously, why do you keep embarrassing yourself like this?

The symbols themselves are made up internally and are completely hallucinatory. But, the brain has associated those hallucinations with actual processes of existent material.

The only thing hallucinations are symbols of is a problem. Ask a psychiatrist or neurologist about your hallucinations.

Your worldview forces you to only talk about the EM-level, where the capacity to distinguish between substances fails, as you proved by appealing to the arrangement. It forces you to call normal sensory experience a hallucination, which renders the word meaningless, once again removing explanatory power. Your worldview is nonsense, but I will concede it is consistently nonsensical.

I don't find much there to call evidence or reasoning, sound reasoning leastwise.

Your inability to find anything there isn't a flaw on my part.

StardustyPsyche said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
StardustyPsyche said...

im-skeptical,
"You are good at picking out statements I made."
That is not difficult, just use a text search.

"You are no good at hearing EVERYTHING I had to say and applying the principle of charity to make the best sense of it."
I have heard your EVERYTHING again and again for decades. You started out like you were going to educate me, which is typical of a person of your magical thinking hubris, you think you have somehow solved the problems and others just have not heard of your "explanations".

I am light years ahead of you. I anticipated everything you have said, which you would have picked up on if you were not so entrenched in your magical thinking hubris.

"Saying that no plausible causal mechanism is observed is not he same as saying "we observe nothing causing something""
Right, exactly the point I was making to you, but go on.

"Saying that something has no cause is not the same as saying nothing is what causes something."
Nothing is not a thing to do anything, obviously.

"You are assuming some kind of causation. I don't make that mistake."
Your mistake, among others, is speaking in distinctions without differences.

"It is the mark of a moron to misunderstand my words the way you have. "
Ok, genius, let's see if you can point out the differences in these expressions.
There is no cause for X.
Not anything caused X.
No thing caused X.
Nothing caused X.

Claiming that there simply was no cause for X is not different from claiming nothing caused X. You are making a distinction without a difference.

Word it either way you like, you are thinking in magical terms, you believe in poof, just alakazam and you get X. You might just as well believe in miracles.

"And anyone who knows modern physics would know that causation is not a even a principle of physics. "
You probably mean the formulation of physics, where to identify particle P as the cause and Q as the effect would be arbitrary, and therefore meaningless. There is only the mutual interaction between P and Q, ideally described in various mathematical expressions.

In the practice and teaching of physics and related subjects certainly the notion of causality is employed. Nuclear fusion is said to cause the sun to shine. Relativistic effects are said to cause distortions to electromagnetic GPS signals that must be corrected for, and on and on.

Russell famously proposed eliminating the word "cause" from our lexicon, as it has become so polluted with false notions as to be irredeemable. Some decades later John Stewart Bell proposed banishing the word "measurement" for similar reasons.

I think Russell was hasty, and a better approach is to recognize that causation is an interactive process, always mutual, multilateral, and in the present moment.

"As for determinism, I explained at length, and made it perfectly clear that it applies in the non-quantum realm"
Yes, you made it clear that that you have made a lengthy incoherent assertion set.

What is the supposed dividing line between your imagined quantum realm versus the supposed non-quantum realm?

"And even then, it isn't absolute."
More self contradictory gibberish. There is determinism except it is not absolutely deterministic. How absurd.

"I explained my concept of "deterministic free will", with caveats regarding the limits of determinism."
Sometimes I gotta laugh to keep from crying. What a confused garble of mushy thinking.

StardustyPsyche said...

im-skeptical,
"I said all this, and you don't understand any of it."
I confess I have difficulty understanding gibberish, self contradiction, hubris, and mushy garble, except that I clearly understand those are the sorts of expressions you are making here.

"You accuse me of contradicting myself when you don't grok what I said."
I have heard all your sorts of expressions again and again for many years. Listening to you is like listening to a Christian apologist. There is no anticipation that perhaps some new sound argument will be put forth. It is just a matter of listening to which tired old nonsense assertions are going to be made in some slightly different wording.

Look, genius, you are asserting poof. You are asserting a one handed handshake, a skyhook.

That's what intrinsic randomness has to be, just poof, for no reason, by no cause, because of not anything, no explanation, no mechanism, because of no thing, because of nothing, just any old time stuff just pops off any old which way.

The hubris and inanity of bringing the tradition of scientific enquiry ad hoc to a screeching halt exploded into physics in the nineteen twenties in what would later be called the Copenhagen Interpretation. That is when some otherwise brilliant physicists came up with a set of equations that proved highly effective in predicting the distribution of observed effects over many trials. They included probabilistic terms with certain distribution functions. In some cases they even claimed physics was complete and there simply is no further work to be done to find any explanatory mechanism for the observed effects!

Some would go on to claim it was not even a valid question to ask! What mechanism gives rise to these observed effects? Well, none, and you should not even be asking!

Physicists are not necessarily very logical regarding the ontological or existential applications of their mathematical expressions. Manifestly, you have fallen victim to this absurdist mindset among physicists. Not long ago it was popular to assert that the big bang started with a singularity, and that time began at the big bang, and that asking what came before the big bang was an invalid question.

Of course, such inane assertions were made based on the totally irrational application of a theory that is known to fail in the very regime where it is being applied! Physics are not necessarily very logical outside of their narrow mathematical expressions.

Quantum woo is all the rage now, and for good reason, hucksters get rich selling woo to the credulous. You are manifestly among such of the credulous.

Best wishes on your recovery and entry into sound scientific thinking in some of the next great scientific challenges, identifying the mechanisms that account for so-called dark matter, dark energy, and observed quantum effects.

You do realize that is the core of the scientific project, looking for mechanisms to account for observed effects, right?

im-skeptical said...

SP, the big difference between you and me is that I have both academic credentials and a lifetime of professional experience in the field, and as nothing more than a wannabe, you don't.

SteveK said...

Reminds me of the pot calling the kettle black

StardustyPsyche said...

im-skeptical,
"I have both academic credentials and a lifetime of professional experience in the field, and as nothing more than a wannabe, you don't."
Translation, you can't form any sound counter arguments so you attempt to argue from authority.

im-skeptical said...

Translation: You don't know what you're talking about. You are stuck on the religion of deterministic causality in quantum mechanics, and you won't be swayed by evidence to the contrary.

Kevin said...

Reminds me of the pot calling the kettle black

Pots can't talk, only a theist would engage in such magic thinking. Shame on you.

StardustyPsyche said...

im-skeptical,
"Translation: You don't know what you're talking about."
Ok, still no sound counter arguments, just a few snide invectives, got it.

StardustyPsyche said...

Kevin,
"only a theist would engage in such magic thinking. "
Clearly that cannot be the case, since im-skeptical is a demonstrated counter example.

But, he is not the only only one. Some people are very rational up to a point, then they go magical.

The scientific project is, among other things, a search for mechanisms to explain observed effects.
Observation - the diversity of life.
Scientific explanation - biological evolution.
Observation - lights in the sky move.
Scientific explanation - astronomical model.
Observation - cosmic objects seem to move in unexpected ways.
Scientific explanation - TBD, not yet known, placeholder labels of dark energy and matter, keep working on it until an explanation can be determined.
Observation - distribution of outcomes in submicroscopic experiments.
Scientific explanation - poof, no reason, it just happens, no mechanism, you are an idiot for questioning the majority of physicists who insist you just shut up and calculate, even asking the question is invalid and just shows what a moron you are.

Oh, wait, there is a problem with that last one.

StardustyPsyche said...

Kevin,
"Once again proving my point. At the level of EM there is no distinction, but at the arrangement level, there is. I agree, at the level of "radioactivity-wise arrangement", which normal people call "plutonium", radioactivity occurs where at the EM level, it did not. Emergent property. Thank you."
You're welcome? I suppose? EM keeps doing the same sorts of things irrespective of how it is arranged relative to other EM. Ok, what is the problem supposed to be exactly?

Are you concerned that "mereological simples arranged plutonium-wise undergo dynamic changes in arrangement that include some of those mereological simples as arranged radiation-wise" is just too cumbersome compared to "plutonium is radioactive"?

Well, yes, speaking more precisely is typically quite cumbersome. Most people speak inaccurately and leave it up to the listener to understand the many unexpressed nuances.

"By definition, "in association with certain patterns of sense data" means they aren't hallucinations."
In a definition that fails to distinguish between the qualia experience itself and the subjects of that experience then such a superficial, inadequate, and misleading definition might be the case.

" It forces you to call normal sensory experience a hallucination, which renders the word meaningless, "
You just have not yet grasped the more detailed meaning that comes by going beyond folk psychology definitions to carefully analyzed scientific definitions.

im-skeptical said...

"Ok, still no sound counter arguments, just a few snide invectives, got it."
- Counter arguments to what? Your know-it-all attitude? Your ideological battle against the evidence-backed consensus of the scientific community? Sorry, dude. Go back to your sandbox.

StardustyPsyche said...

""By definition, "in association with certain patterns of sense data" means they aren't hallucinations.""
Suppose we consider
R=viewing an apparent distant body of water, wherein the body of water is really out there.
H=viewing an apparent distant body of water, except the body of water is not really out there.

Of course, this is the classic mirage of the thirsty person in a desert, perhaps exacerbated by dehydration induced diminished brain function. We can see this effect ourselves on a hot day, there can seem to be a shimmering in the distance that resembles water. The scientific explanation for this shimmering effect has to do with refractions and hot air.

So, you would say, R is viewing reality, and H is an hallucination, because in R the water is really there and in H the water is not really there.

Suppose we say
W=water is really there
A=only air is really there
Q=the qualia experience of W
Q=the qualia experience of only A

So, we have the same qualia experience, Q, if A the same as if W.
We have the same qualia experience if there is really water or if there is really only air.

But what is the hallucination then?
You say
Q and W is not an hallucination, because Q is associated with real water.
Q and A is an hallucination, because Q is associated only with air, which is falsely believed to be water.

So correctly interpreting a symbol is not an hallucination, you say.
But, incorrectly interpreting a symbol is an hallucination, you say.

Indeed, that is the conventional view, the folk psychology view, the manifest image view, the ordinary superficial not very carefully considered view. Yes.


But what is the symbol itself?

A quick search on "icon index symbol" yields the below, there are many other such references.

https://vanseodesign.com/web-design/icon-index-symbol/
3 Types of Signifiers — The Categories of Signs
Peirce said the form a sign takes, it’s signifier, can be classified as one of three types an icon, an index, or a symbol.

An Icon has a physical resemblance to the signified, the thing being represented. A photograph is a good example as it certainly resembles whatever it depicts.
An Index shows evidence of what’s being represented. A good example is using an image of smoke to indicate fire.
A Symbol has no resemblance between the signifier and the signified. The connection between them must be culturally learned. Numbers and alphabets are good examples. There’s nothing inherent in the number 9 to indicate what it represents. It must be culturally learned.


Note, the symbol is just made up, it is an invention of the brain, there is no inherent connection between the symbol and the extramental thing it is associated with.

That is what makes the symbol itself an hallucination. It is completely imaginary, with no inherent connection to the extramental thing it is associated with.

You say the experience of perceiving X when there is no X in the extramental reality is an hallucination.

I agree.

There is no such thing as yellow or sweet in the extramental reality. That makes those qualia experiences themselves hallucinations.

StardustyPsyche said...

im-skeptical,
"- Counter arguments to what?"
June 29, 2024 8:40 AM
June 29, 2024 8:43 AM
June 29, 2024 11:42 AM

im-skeptical said...

Drop your know-it-all attitude. Then maybe you can begin to understand what the evidence indicates, and people are telling you.

StardustyPsyche said...

im-skeptical,
"Drop your know-it-all attitude."
"I have both academic credentials and a lifetime of professional experience in the field,"
Hilarious.
Pot, meet kettle.

I have found that when the other guy is incapable of forming his own arguments in his own words he will refuse to do so, only claim to be an expert who's opinion should be accepted on authority, hurl insults, claim the majority of experts agree, and make short vague allusions to evidence that supposedly supports his claim.

Behind the bluster, insults, claims to be an authority, appeal to the majority, appeal to authority, and blatant hypocrisy is, well, nothing.

Or, at least, no rational intelligible attempts at specific counter arguments in response to the very careful, explicit, and detailed arguments I have made.

SteveK said...

Calling Mr. Dunning, Mr. Kruger. We found your patient.

Kevin said...

Are you concerned that "mereological simples arranged plutonium-wise undergo dynamic changes in arrangement that include some of those mereological simples as arranged radiation-wise" is just too cumbersome compared to "plutonium is radioactive"?

Notice how heavily reliant on various forms of the word "arrange" your description is, in order to accommodate various effects. Can you accommodate various effects without appealing to arrangement?

In a definition that fails to distinguish between the qualia experience itself and the subjects of that experience then such a superficial, inadequate, and misleading definition might be the case.

That's not the point of the word.

You just have not yet grasped the more detailed meaning that comes by going beyond folk psychology definitions to carefully analyzed scientific definitions.

Neither have scientists apparently.

Kevin said...

So, you would say, R is viewing reality, and H is an hallucination, because in R the water is really there and in H the water is not really there.

No, I wouldn't say that. You do realize the difference between a mirage and a hallucination, don't you?

To borrow from your post, the shimmering water-like image is due to refractions and hot air. That's due to the behavior of light. You can take a picture of it. And since it is an image triggered by light entering our eye, or a camera lens, it is not a hallucination.

im-skeptical said...

The attitude stands intact. OK. That's something I can't argue with.

StardustyPsyche said...

im-skeptical,
"The attitude stands intact. OK. That's something I can't argue with."
That is a difference between us, then.

I am fully capable of arguing against the points raised by a person with any attitude.

You lack that capability, by your own words.

For me, the process is simple, read the arguments as they are presented, and if they are bad arguments point out the errors specifically on the merits, and present counter arguments or alternative arguments on the merits.

The fact that others think they are correct is irrelevant to me.

im-skeptical said...

The difference between us is that I know when I'm out of my league.

SteveK said...

"For me, the process is simple, read the arguments as they are presented, and if they are bad arguments point out the errors specifically on the merits, and present counter arguments or alternative arguments on the merits."

You almost never do this. Most of the time you ignore the merits.

Kevin said...

Most of the time you ignore the merits.

Can you ignore something if you are incapable of recognizing it? That's the question.

bmiller said...

The difference between us is that I know when I'm out of my league.

There is no evidence of this. You've claimed that everyone who disagrees with you is blinded by religion, malicious or incompetent. You routinely employ variations of the genetic fallacy both to discredit your opponents and to claim your superior authority rather than to engage in the actual arguments put forward.

StardustyPsyche said...

im-skeptical,
"The difference between us is that I know when I'm out of my league."
Well, yes, you are out of your league, but that's OK, that is no reason why you have to avoid attending my classes.

For example, the topic of the OP is free will on determinism.

You asserted some sort of limited determinism. You realize that is an incoherent assertion, correct? I mean, pretty obviously.

Either the cosmos progresses deterministically or there is at least some element of intrinsic randomness in the progressions of the cosmos. That is pretty clear to you, right?

So, if you have a "limited determinism" that would mean the determinism of the cosmos includes randomness, which is self contradictory. That is not so hard for you to understand, is it?

StardustyPsyche said...

SteveK,
"Most of the time you ignore the merits."
Well, then, maybe you can help our skeptical friend out?

What are the merits of asserting intrinsic randomness?

In what sense would it be coherent to assert that the cosmos progresses deterministically and also by an element of intrinsic randomness?

In what sense is the assertion of intrinsic randomness not an abandonment of the scientific project? In the scientific tradition one observes effects and seeks out a causal mechanism to explain those observed effects.

Supposing we observe a set of events with a particular distribution of parameters over many trials. In what sense is it in keeping with the scientific tradition to declare the reason for that particular distribution is no reason at all? How is declaring a no-reason reason at all a part of the scientific project?

No mechanism. No reason. No cause. Just the effect. The same repeatable effect again and again and again, yet the conclusion is no mechanism, no reason, no cause. In what sense is that even a remotely rational conclusion?

SteveK said...

I said most of the time. I have no complaints regarding your response to im-skeptical.

im-skeptical said...

"You asserted some sort of limited determinism. You realize that is an incoherent assertion, correct? I mean, pretty obviously."
- I hope you realize how uninformed you are. I have described what I'm talking about, and it obviously doesn't agree with your own conception of it. So rather than listening and understanding, you insist that I'm incoherent. This, despite the fact that it isn't just some guy on the internet who's saying these things. The philosophical position of compatibilism is widely accepted within the scientific community. I agree with scientists like Sean Carroll, and philosophers like Daniel Dennett, and I don't believe for a second that they are incoherent. And perhaps you wouldn't either, if you would bother to learn more about it.

"Either the cosmos progresses deterministically or there is at least some element of intrinsic randomness in the progressions of the cosmos. That is pretty clear to you, right?"
- Evidence indicates that quantum events are not deterministic, whether you like it or not. And the vast majority of the scientific community is on board with that. But you don't buy it, so you whine that I'm just making an appeal to authority. Yes, I am. And you appeal to your own authority as a counter-argument, despite the fact that his beliefs have been mostly disproved. It's like the knight from Monty Python who had his arms and legs cut off in a sword fight, but isn't willing to give up, saying "'Tis but a scratch."

"So, if you have a "limited determinism" that would mean the determinism of the cosmos includes randomness, which is self contradictory. That is not so hard for you to understand, is it?"
- I told you again and again that determinism does not apply in the quantum arena. Is that so hard for you to understand? You have this all-or-nothing ideological view, and you aren't willing to listen to people who actually know what they're talking about. You are saying that you are right, and the majority of the scientific community is wrong. Anyone in your position ought to have the humility to ask themself, "Is there something that I might not be getting right?"

StardustyPsyche said...

im-skeptical,
"I agree with scientists like Sean Carroll, and philosophers like Daniel Dennett, and I don't believe for a second that they are incoherent."
Argument from authority. You might want to try thinking logically and for yourself.

"Evidence indicates that quantum events are not deterministic"
There is no such evidence. You are just making that up out of your imagination.

Chaos looks random. Chaos can be analyzed probabilistically.

There is no evidence that events happen for no cause, you are just making that up.

"And you appeal to your own authority"
You are making that up too. I have not appealed to authority.

"I told you again and again that determinism does not apply in the quantum arena."
Sure, in your imagination effects happen for no reason, by no cause, by no mechanism.

"Is that so hard for you to understand?"
It is a completely irrational position, so yes, if one is not a magical thinker that is hard to understand. I find the attraction to woo nonsense very hard to understand, yet most people are theists or believers in intrinsic randomness.

I have been in the rational minority for nearly my whole life, so your ad populum fallacy that since most people believe in poof I should too, else I am some kind of dolt for not going along with the herd, well, whatever.

"You have this all-or-nothing ideological view"
It's called logic.
Does 0.999999 equal 1?
See, I have "this all-or-nothing ideological view" that the correct answer is "no".

"you aren't willing to listen to people who actually know what they're talking about."
Who is that supposed to be, I mean specifically?

Just who is it that you suppose has proved non-causality? Really? The majority of experts now assert that effect happen by no mechanism, by no causal process, for no reason?

Can you name these supposed experts and describe their proofs of these amazing conclusions?

"the majority of the scientific community is wrong. Anyone in your position ought to have the humility to ask themself, "Is there something that I might not be getting right?""
Then what do the minority say?

Is that how logic works, majority rules?

Do you have any capacity to think for yourself and form your own arguments without pointing vaguely out into the distance where some supposed majority opinion somehow is out there?

Can you put into your own words how effects happen by no cause, for no reason, by no mechanism, just poof? Does that somehow make sense to you?

Can you tell me in your own words how an observation of effects and an attribution that there is no causation, no reason, no mechanism, is somehow part of science?

I mean, when we observe any other effects the scientist goes looking for the mechanism, right? That is what makes science, well, scientific, right? The search for explanatory causation, reasons, and underlying mechanisms, right?

But somehow, not photons and quarks and electrons? These sorts of things just magically pop off any old which way all on their own for no reason, for no causation, by no mechanism? And you consider people who assert such things as scientists? I would call them magicians.

Kevin said...

I have been in the rational minority for nearly my whole life

I can't speak for nearly your whole life, but I have some bad news for recent years anyway.

SteveK said...

So, people who assert that only fundamental matter exists and mutual causation is the reason for all change are rational and scientific, but people who say things happen for no reason are illogical and anti-scientific. My Dunning-Kruger meter just melted.

im-skeptical said...

"Argument from authority. You might want to try thinking logically and for yourself."
- You might want to think about listening to people who know what they're talking about. You certainly don't. And by the way, it's not a fallacy to refer to actual authoritative sources.

"I mean, when we observe any other effects the scientist goes looking for the mechanism, right? That is what makes science, well, scientific, right? The search for explanatory causation, reasons, and underlying mechanisms, right?"
- What do you know about science? What education do you have? What is your expertise in quantum mechanics? You have no clue about what evidence has been gathered and what it tells us. You sit in your little sandbox and throw stones at those who are actually doing scientific investigation that you can't even begin to understand. STFU.

StardustyPsyche said...

SteveK,
"So, people who assert that only fundamental matter exists and mutual causation is the reason for all change are rational and scientific,"
Correct. (1)

" but people who say things happen for no reason are illogical and anti-scientific."
Correct. (2)

" My Dunning-Kruger meter just melted."
That is a risk with home diagnosis.

In (1) there are mechanisms and causal processes that account for observed effects.
Such a system is both logical and scientific.

In (2) it is claimed that effects occur for no reason, by no mechanism, with no causal process.
Such a system is both illogical and unscientific.

What do you image the problem is (1) that means it is actually illogical and unscientific?
In what way do you consider (2) to be both logical and scientific?


SteveK said...

The problem is that scientists haven’t observed either one.

StardustyPsyche said...

im-skeptical,
"- You might want to think about listening to people who know what they're talking about. You certainly don't. And by the way, it's not a fallacy to refer to actual authoritative sources."
Then how do you account for highly educated professionals who diametrically disagree with each other?

Suppose we have 2 "authoritative sources".
S1 asserts X.
S2 asserts notX.

So, you can "refer to" S1 to assert X.
You can also "refer to" S2 to assert notX.

How do you settle such a matter? Perhaps majority rule?
Is the majority generally correct on matters of specialized and esoteric fact?

I can list off statements made by recognized experts that contradict what you say, award winning and published PhDs in physics and mathematics and philosophy who generally agree with me and disagree with you. Does my ability to quote such "authoritative sources" mean you are wrong and I am right?

"You have no clue about what evidence has been gathered and what it tells us. "
There is no such evidence that shows that events occur for no reason, by no causal process, by no mechanism.

You keep pointing out into the distance vaguely referring to such fantasy experiments, but there are none on record.

Early work in QM was done in the late 1800's and around the turn of the century, including the work Einstein received his Nobel prize for, in part. The formulations of QM were largely derived in the 1920's. Since then a great deal of work has been done and through it all there have been thousands of experiments performed relating various effects, for example early work with the photoelectric effect, up to more recent experiments with entanglement that led to the shared 2022 Nobel prize.

In over a century of such experimentation and theoretical work there has never been any experiment that showed observed effects happen by no causal process, for no reason, by no mechanism.

But, you seem to be a fan of "authoritative sources" so I will give you a few:
Gerard 't Hooft is highly critical of the Copenhagen interpretation and is convinced that determinism is the case. Gerard 't Hooft says he was told not to ask the question, but he refuses that instruction, he insists on asking the question.

John Stewart Bell wrote "Against Measurement". Have you read it? I think it would do you a world of good. He also explicitly stated that there could be deterministic solutions to his inequality problems and that one can find hidden variables in the data if one wishes to look for them.

Stephen Wolfram says that "explanation stops when probability is employed".

Sean Carroll considers teaching the Copenhagen interpretation a "scandal" because "nobody believes it".

Lawrence Krauss said "there are no scientific authorities".

But, that just goes to show that the experts disagree, which is one way to realize that appeal to authority is a logical fallacy.

What you are proposing is an end to scientific enquiry, at least in attempting to understand the true nature of the underlying reality.

Just open up your physics books and read the sidebars about the great scientists of centuries past and even into modern times. Again and again they were driven to explain observed processes in terms of underlying mechanisms, to learn the reasons and the causal processes that accounted for observations.

You are declaring an end to that great tradition, ad hoc. For you the hubris of the 1920's physicists has become a sort of metaphorical brain infection, that physics is complete, we have reached the end of the line, and the answer is...nothing.

Nothingdunnit.

There is no thing that did it.

No mechanism, no causal process, no reason. Just stop all scientific enquiry because the answer is that stuff just goes poof all on its own for no reason, by no mechanism. That is not science, that is putting on magical blinders.

im-skeptical said...

On causation:

SteveK gets something right here. Causation has NEVER been observed - whether it is mutual or otherwise, in quantum mechanics or anywhere else, either. This was noted by Hume. But Hume doesn't reject the notion of causation altogether. It is a useful concept, even if it isn't recognized as a principle in science. So what is a rational notion of causation? It consists of two essential elements: correlation and mechanism. Correlation is pretty obvious. A state of affairs must be present if it thought to be the "cause" of some effect, and that relationship must be consistent. But that's not sufficient to establish causation. If A and B are correlated, does A cause B, or does B cause A? This is where causal mechanism comes in. There must be physical process that links the cause to the effect. Without that mechanism, it cannot be said that the postulated causation exists.

Aristotle had a religious view of causation. It gave primacy to purpose and conformity. It supposed the metaphysical concepts of potential and actualization. It never doubted the reality of its metaphysical concepts. The prevalent characteristic of religious beliefs is that they aren't subject to doubt. Any argument or evidence against them will be dismissed or discredited. Anyone who expresses their doubts will be deemed irrational. Despite the religious character of Aristotle's ideas about causation, the general notion has stayed with us. And people today who doubt it are called irrational. They are attacked, and even accused of bringing a halt to science itself. But in the case of quantum events, there is no correlation, and no mechanism. All we have is the religious insistence that there has to be causation.

So call me irrational. Call me unscientific, even though I'm a scientist and you aren't. And I will call you religious, because that's exactly what you are.

SteveK said...

Except I didn’t say that.

bmiller said...

im-skeptical,

You really don't have anything going for you other than the Genetic Fallacy do you? Maybe you think it's a knock-down tactic but everyone else understands it is a FALLACY.

All we ever hear you argue for is how you are supposedly a "scientist", you listen to "real" scientists as opposed to those "fake" scientists others quote. So everyone should shut up and listen to you no matter how poor your actual arguments (if you ever actually try to make one).

On the other hand everyone who disagrees with you is "religious" and so there's no reason to consider their actual arguments. So you remain ignorant of arguments that oppose your point of view as you repeatedly demonstrate.

If you were a young person, there might be hope that you could learn how to avoid fallacious arguments, but you are old and captive to bad habits...and bad manners. And so you will remain a bitter, old, lonely individual whose only interaction is to yell at virtual people on the internet because, I suppose, people in real life want nothing to do with such a person. You need our prayers.

SteveK said...

The heart causes blood to circulate in the body. Of this I have no doubt, so it’s a religious belief.

StardustyPsyche said...

im-skeptical,
"Call me unscientific, even though I'm a scientist"
Is a scientist necessarily scientific?
Is a preacher necessarily a practitioner or even a believer in what he preaches?

"I'm a scientist"
"STFU"
What is the scientific theory of STFU?

Ok Mr. Great Scientist who can therefore never proclaim anything unscientific so we need to just STFU instead of questioning your unscientific assertions...here is a very interesting set of lecture notes.


CERN Document Server
What in the world is quantum mechanics about exactly? / Bell, John Stewart (CERN)
1982. - 16 p.
https://cds.cern.ch/record/2642498/files/john_bell_lecture.pdf


It provides a fascinating insight into the probing questions of a theoretical physicist who was not at all satisfied to STFU and just accept terms like "measurement" "jumps" and "observable". Nor would he STFU and accept the early 20th century rejection of causality, or the "tranquilizing philosophy from Copenhagen".

im-skeptical said...

Bmiller:

"You really don't have anything going for you other than the Genetic Fallacy do you?
- Is that so? Genetic fallacy? Tell me, what kind of logic were you applying when you first started attacking me? When I hadn't said anything to you, or about you, and I was trying hard to avoid antagonizing anyone. But you were triggered anyway, and I still have no idea why. Something to do with what I represent, I suppose. But I can't really accuse you of committing the genetic fallacy, because you haven't presented any actual arguments. All you do is vent your evident hatred toward me. Have you actually listened to my arguments? Not that I can see.

"All we ever hear you argue for is how you are supposedly a "scientist", you listen to "real" scientists as opposed to those "fake" scientists others quote."
- You heard me say that in my discussion with SP, and nowhere else. The majority of my engagement here was with someone who didn't claim scientific knowledge, and I didn't say anything to him (or anyone else) about being a scientist. It came up in response to SP, when he started making scientific claims that contradict what I know, and revealing his lack of scientific understanding in the process. Now, I can understand your confusion here, because he obviously has more scientific understanding than you have. You can't tell the difference between an actual scientist and someone who pretends to know things he doesn't really know. To you, we both sound the same. And to SP's great discredit, he's unwilling to back down, which brings me to the next thing ...

"everyone who disagrees with you is "religious" and so there's no reason to consider their actual arguments."
- Is it true that I regard everyone who disagrees with me as religious? Well, out of all the people who have shown up on this page, there is only one (other than myself) who isn't a Christian. That person is SP. And as I explained, he holds a religious adherence to a principle that isn't supported by evidence or the scientific community in general. He has a guru (who is actually a scientist) that espouses this principle, against the general consensus of the scientific community, even after being almost completely disproved by science. Now I ask you, is SP willing to listen to real scientists who don't espouse his belief? No. He only listens to his guru. And he won't change his mind in the face of evidence to the contrary. To me, that sounds exactly like religious belief. And as for all my other arguments, you haven't heard them. So your claim about me is based on one discussion with one guy. It isn't worth the paper it's written on.

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